China Play Stocks submits:
Nassim Taleb’s book popularized the notion of a black swan — a highly improbable event — that can wreck havoc on an investor’s portfolio. The recent financial crisis had its origins in one such black swan: the nationwide decline of housing prices in America which invalidated a lot of the assumptions behind the CDOs and CDSs that many investors had bet on.
Corriente Advisors LLC is one of the few hedge funds that benefited from this black swan by betting against U.S. subprime mortgages and delivering a six-fold gain to investors. Corriente also profited last year by betting against the sovereign debt of the weaker European nations such as Greece. Now, Corriente is betting against China.
Corriente’s basic logic is laid out in this article, and can be summarized as follows:
Raw materials: Corriente says China has consumed just 65pc of the cement it has produced in the past five
Complete Story »