By Marc Chandler:
The U.S. debt ceiling remains unresolved at this late date. The market’s response over the past week to Europe’s new initiatives is poor as peripheral, including Spain and Italian, bond yields and spreads over bunds widened considerably. Yet as investors, we must look ahead.
There are five key events next week that will be on radar screens, leaving aside the U.S. debt ceiling debate and rating challenge.
1. Three central banks meet: The Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England and European Central Bank. None are expected to change policies. Expectations on the RBA are the most vulnerable. The OIS market still prices in a cut, but this seems increasing less likely.
Unlike most central banks, when the BOE doesn’t do anything, it doesn’t say anything. Minutes more revealing, but the economy has stagnated for 9 months, but price pressures too elevated still and trajectory not clear enough to really